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Default Tariff Cap Predictor

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Coverage of Great Britain

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Updated quarterly

Our Default Tariff Cap Predictor forecasts Ofgem's quarterly price cap and examines the key drivers affecting the level of the cap, and – in turn – household energy bills.

Overview

Our Domestic Tariff Cap Predictor uses our in-house modelling of non-energy costs.

Such as policy levies and network costs - alongside a view of the wholesale market in conjunction with our broader modelling of the energy market, applying the same underlying approach as Ofgem itself.

Our forecasts cover the period to the end of 2030, presenting our view of the cap for each individual quarter, helping you to formulate financial plans.

Our industry-leading forecasts have been used by a range of suppliers and also by the mainstream and industry press.

Our Domestic Tariff Cap Predictor uses our in-house modelling of non-energy costs.

Such as policy levies and network costs - alongside a view of the wholesale market in conjunction with our broader modelling of the energy market, applying the same underlying approach as Ofgem itself.

Our forecasts cover the period to the end of 2030, presenting our view of the cap for each individual quarter, helping you to formulate financial plans.

Our industry-leading forecasts have been used by a range of suppliers and also by the mainstream and industry press.

What's included in the Default Tariff Cap Predictor?

You will receive MS Excel files containing Cornwall Insight’s modelling outputs and a summary report every quarter.

Our forecasts and summary report are issued each quarter in advance of Ofgem’s own announcements, with interim forecast updates provided in response to market and other developments, ensuring that our customers are kept up to speed.

Who is this service for?

What are the benefits of this service?

  • Provides an independent reference point for domestic energy prices
  • Provides insight and an explanation of the Default Tariff cap price drivers

Our Domestic Tariff Cap Predictor uses our in-house modelling of non-energy costs.

Such as policy levies and network costs - alongside a view of the wholesale market in conjunction with our broader modelling of the energy market, applying the same underlying approach as Ofgem itself.

Our forecasts cover the period to the end of 2030, presenting our view of the cap for each individual quarter, helping you to formulate financial plans.

Our industry-leading forecasts have been used by a range of suppliers and also by the mainstream and industry press.

What's included in the Default Tariff Cap Predictor?

You will receive MS Excel files containing Cornwall Insight’s modelling outputs and a summary report every quarter.

Our forecasts and summary report are issued each quarter in advance of Ofgem’s own announcements, with interim forecast updates provided in response to market and other developments, ensuring that our customers are kept up to speed.

Who is this service for?

What are the benefits of this service?

  • Provides an independent reference point for domestic energy prices
  • Provides insight and an explanation of the Default Tariff cap price drivers
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Craig Lowrey

Principal Consultant

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