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Modelling Services

We provide a seamless range of advisory, research, and bespoke consulting services to support organisations through business and financial planning, strategy development, due diligence, policy design, risk management, and regulatory assessments.

Expert and sophisticated modelling, forecasting and analytics

Our deep sector knowledge is combined with our industry-leading modelling capabilities to provide quantitative analysis of the current and future energy market and its impact on you and your decision-making. Our modelling insights are available as a subscription service and bespoke consulting service, tailored to meet your needs.

  • Scenario base forecasting of energy market prices
  • Financial benchmarking of storage and generation technologies
  • Bespoke assessments of complex energy projects

Bespoke Modelling Capabilities for Great Britain, Australia, Ireland, Germany & Japan

Market-leading forecasts for wholesale power, non-commodity costs, network charges and capacity market clearing prices, informed by our expert view of the market and our detailed, comprehensive in-house models. Used in financial and transaction due diligence and future investment or disposal decisions

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Our Modelling Subscription Analysis Services

Forecasts

Japan Benchmark Power Curve

The Japan Benchmark Power Curve is a comprehensive power price modelling service, providing market and technology-specific forecasts in partnership with Shulman Advisory.

Forecasts

SEM Benchmark Power Curve

For the Island of Ireland, a comprehensive power price modelling service that delivers long-term 30-year wholesale power price forecasts informed by our significant market, policy and regulatory expertise.

Forecasts

Network Forecasts (GB)

Expert long-term forecasting for network use of system charges and revenues applicable to generators connected to the GB network. These are delivered with a configurable tool able to create projects specific forecasts based on its technology type, expected load factors, and location on the network.

Forecasts

SEM Battery Revenue Forecast

A quarterly indicative revenue forecast of battery storage assets in the SEM market. This is based on our two-stage storage optimisation service, Power Price Forecasting and Storage Optimisation Modelling.

Forecasts

Capacity Market Forecast (GB)

Expert forecasting of clearing prices for the T- 1 and T- 4 auctions, regular updates on key rule changes and trusted, detailed analysis of each set of auction results, to help inform on the competitive landscape and your bidding strategy.

Forecasts

GB Battery Revenue Forecast

Provides indicative forecasts of the revenues from battery storage assets across a number of different parameters and scenarios.

Forecasts

FCAS Curve (AUS)

Our FCAS Curve (AUS) subscription contains the NEM Frequency Control Ancillary Services (FCAS) Market Curve, a granular 30-minute price forecast for all NEM ancillary service markets (all 10 FCAS markets) over a 20-year horizon.

Forecasts

Network Forecasts (AUS)

Our Network Forecasts (AUS) subscription contains our Marginal Loss Factor (MLF) Curve which provides future projections of MLFs throughout the National Electricity Market (NEM). This allows clients to be better informed of likely MLF trajectories for current projects, as well as being able to benchmark MLFs for projects under development.

Forecasts

Germany Benchmark Power Curve

The Germany Benchmark Power Curve is a comprehensive power price modelling service, providing market and technology-specific forecasts.

Forecasts

NEM Benchmark Power Curve

The NEM Benchmark Power Curve is a comprehensive market and asset-level electricity modelling service, delivering long-term wholesale power price forecasts for the National Electricity market (NEM) in Australia.

Forecasts

5 Year Power Price Projector (GB)

Understand the trajectory of power prices beyond the horizon of the forward curve and integrate these assumptions into budgeting, trading, and business and investment decisions.

Comprehensive Power Price Modelling With Our Benchmark Power Curve

Our Benchmark Power Curves cover Great Britain, Ireland, Australia, Japan, and Germany and helps underpin a range of work in the energy markets. Bespoke curves can help answer cutting-edge questions like how new technology, changes in underlying commodity prices, or behaviour changes among a group of consumers adjust the capacity mix or price outcome. Our consultancy team can help design a bespoke model solution built on our Benchmark Power Curve that helps answer your questions in greater detail than publicly available information.

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Meet The Experts

Global Head of Modelling

Sarah Johnson

Global Head of Modelling

Sarah leads the GB Modelling Team and supports the development and optimisation of market models that provide bespoke quantitative analysis for clients and analytics and forecasts for some of Cornwall Insight’s key energy products.

Global Head of Modelling

Tom Musker

GB & Ireland Modelling Manager

Tom has over 12 years’ experience in the energy market and provides analytics and forecasts for some of Cornwall Insights key energy products, steering the development of new and existing projects, plus supporting commercial strategies, investments and market regulation.

Find Out More About Our Award Winning Consultancy Service

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Our Customers

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2024
Modelling of Battery Storage & Solar Co-Location

We used our energy storage optimiser tool to help understand the potential future revenues for a co-located battery energy storage system and solar PV asset

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2024
Innovative Storage Technology Developer

The Cornwall Insight team worked with an innovative storage technology developer to support the business case development for their technology when collocated with electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure. The project saw Cornwall Insight develop demand forecasting tools for EV charging across public and private use cases and model the potential commercial returns for the company’s unique long-duration storage technology.

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2023
Network charging analysis for Zenobe Energy

Cornwall Insight created a focused paper in a tight timeframe, providing us with a clearer picture of the regulatory landscape around energy storage.

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2022
Thought leadership with Shoosmiths

Shoosmiths is a law firm supporting clients across the UK and internationally. It was winner of Law Firm of the Year at the Legal Business Awards 2022\. Cornwall Insight developed a series of thought leadership reports with Shoosmiths, co-authoring three papers.

Find Out More
2024
Modelling of Battery Storage & Solar Co-Location

We used our energy storage optimiser tool to help understand the potential future revenues for a co-located battery energy storage system and solar PV asset

Find Out More
2024
Innovative Storage Technology Developer

The Cornwall Insight team worked with an innovative storage technology developer to support the business case development for their technology when collocated with electric vehicle (EV) charging infrastructure. The project saw Cornwall Insight develop demand forecasting tools for EV charging across public and private use cases and model the potential commercial returns for the company’s unique long-duration storage technology.

Find Out More
2023
Network charging analysis for Zenobe Energy

Cornwall Insight created a focused paper in a tight timeframe, providing us with a clearer picture of the regulatory landscape around energy storage.

Find Out More
2022
Thought leadership with Shoosmiths

Shoosmiths is a law firm supporting clients across the UK and internationally. It was winner of Law Firm of the Year at the Legal Business Awards 2022\. Cornwall Insight developed a series of thought leadership reports with Shoosmiths, co-authoring three papers.

Find Out More
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