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NEM Benchmark Power Curve

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Coverage of NEM (Australia)

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Updated quarterly

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Debrief sessions

The NEM Benchmark Power Curve is a comprehensive market and asset-level electricity modelling service, delivering long-term wholesale power price forecasts for the National Electricity market (NEM) in Australia.

Overview

The Benchmark Power Curve (BPC) is a comprehensive market and asset-level electricity modelling service.

It delivers long-term wholesale power price forecasts informed by industry-leading regulatory, market, and policy experts. In addition to the price curve and accompanying analytical report, this service provides access to our trusted modelling and expert energy consultant to assist you in discussing and understanding the impact on your business and projects.

The quarterly report provides an update on the power price impacts of major developments across the National Electricity Market (NEM), including market capacity expansion, generation mix, captured prices by technology and an analysis of price volatility of the drivers of changes in market pricing. Our comprehensive yet focused approach to simulating the National Electricity Market (NEM) closes the gap between typical power price models and real-life market practices.

The Benchmark Power Curve (BPC) is a comprehensive market and asset-level electricity modelling service.

It delivers long-term wholesale power price forecasts informed by industry-leading regulatory, market, and policy experts. In addition to the price curve and accompanying analytical report, this service provides access to our trusted modelling and expert energy consultant to assist you in discussing and understanding the impact on your business and projects.

The quarterly report provides an update on the power price impacts of major developments across the National Electricity Market (NEM), including market capacity expansion, generation mix, captured prices by technology and an analysis of price volatility of the drivers of changes in market pricing. Our comprehensive yet focused approach to simulating the National Electricity Market (NEM) closes the gap between typical power price models and real-life market practices.

What's included in the NEM Benchmark Power Curve service?

Our report delivers a transparent explanation of the drivers of long-term power prices and provides the following information:

  • 30-year price forecasts of NEM wholesale power at a 30-minute dispatch resolution
  • 5-year price forecasts of NEM wholesale power prices at a 5-minute dispatch resolution
  • Captured prices for all technologies
  • Quarterly report and webinar detailing the results
  • Analysis of future price volatility
  • Diurnal (time-of-day) view of long-term wholesale electricity price forecasts
  • Views on future capacity and generation mix
  • Large-scale Generation Certificate (LGC) forecasts

Also included is The Australian Bulletin, which offers regular updates on market movements, pricing trends, and forecasts, as well as insight into regulatory changes and their potential impact on market participants. The Bulletin also looks at industry structure, including key commercial announcements and developments shaping the energy transition. The Australian Bulletin is a standard inclusion for all our subscription service customers.

What are the benefits of this service?

  • Understand the range of credible long-term electricity prices captured by different technologies.
  • Incorporate asset-level price curves into project/portfolio financial models to support investment cases, budgeting, asset benchmarking, and business planning.
  • Benchmark and assess the value delivered by different routes to market

The Benchmark Power Curve (BPC) is a comprehensive market and asset-level electricity modelling service.

It delivers long-term wholesale power price forecasts informed by industry-leading regulatory, market, and policy experts. In addition to the price curve and accompanying analytical report, this service provides access to our trusted modelling and expert energy consultant to assist you in discussing and understanding the impact on your business and projects.

The quarterly report provides an update on the power price impacts of major developments across the National Electricity Market (NEM), including market capacity expansion, generation mix, captured prices by technology and an analysis of price volatility of the drivers of changes in market pricing. Our comprehensive yet focused approach to simulating the National Electricity Market (NEM) closes the gap between typical power price models and real-life market practices.

What's included in the NEM Benchmark Power Curve service?

Our report delivers a transparent explanation of the drivers of long-term power prices and provides the following information:

  • 30-year price forecasts of NEM wholesale power at a 30-minute dispatch resolution
  • 5-year price forecasts of NEM wholesale power prices at a 5-minute dispatch resolution
  • Captured prices for all technologies
  • Quarterly report and webinar detailing the results
  • Analysis of future price volatility
  • Diurnal (time-of-day) view of long-term wholesale electricity price forecasts
  • Views on future capacity and generation mix
  • Large-scale Generation Certificate (LGC) forecasts

Also included is The Australian Bulletin, which offers regular updates on market movements, pricing trends, and forecasts, as well as insight into regulatory changes and their potential impact on market participants. The Bulletin also looks at industry structure, including key commercial announcements and developments shaping the energy transition. The Australian Bulletin is a standard inclusion for all our subscription service customers.

What are the benefits of this service?

  • Understand the range of credible long-term electricity prices captured by different technologies.
  • Incorporate asset-level price curves into project/portfolio financial models to support investment cases, budgeting, asset benchmarking, and business planning.
  • Benchmark and assess the value delivered by different routes to market
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Stefano Boscaglia

Sales and Regional Lead (Australia)

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